Kemba Walker is a man.
In other news, UC sucks.
In other news, I have a 10-page paper due tomorrow and this is my chosen method of procrastination.
Let's go.
Winners:
Kemba Walker
That man eats his Wheaties.
Notre Dame
Looked more like a one seed, might have surpassed Pitt.
Georgia, Boston College, USC, Michigan State
All avoided deadly losses.
Colorado
Huge win over K State
Losers
UAB, Colorado, Oklahoma State
Bye bye.
UC
'Nuff said
The announcer at the Uconn-Pitt game
For sounding like he said "Cardigan Kemba" at the buzzer.
I'm not gonna move Pitt down to the 2 line (for now) because Kemba Walker is not a human. But I am swtiching them and ND, so if Duke plays well, they might oust Pitt. No auto bids are handed out tonight, but I dropped UAB.
Current bubble softness, with 1 being very hard and 100 being very soft: 100.
It's as soft as it's ever gonna get, since nobody wants to get in, apparently..
*My blog: http://andrewwicksbracketblog.blogspot.com/2011/03/updating-bracket.html
1 seeds: OSU, Kansas, Notre Dame, Pitt
2 seeds: Purdue, SDST, Syracuse, Duke
3 seeds: UNC, Texas, Uconn, Florida
4 seeds: L'ville, Wisconsin, BYU, UK
5 seeds: Vandy, St Johns, West Virginia, Arizona
6 seeds: UNLV, Texas A&M, Xavier, Gtown
7 seeds: K State, Temple, George Mason, #Old Dominion
8 seeds: Tennessee, Florida St., UCLA, Mizzou
9 seeds: Illinois, Utah State, #Gonzaga, UC
10 seeds: Michigan St., Marquette, Georgia, Richmond
11 seeds: *''Nova, *St. Mary's, Boston College, Michigan, Colorado
12 seeds: Clemson, Va. Tech, *'Bama, #Butler, *Memphis
13 seeds: #Belmont, #Wofford,# Oakland, Harvard
14 seeds: Boston U., Kent State, #Long Island, #Morehead State
15 seeds: Bucknell, #Arkansas-Little Rock, Long Beach, McNeese State
16 seeds: *Bethune-Cookman, *#UNC-Ashville, Texas Southern, Northern Colorado, *#Indiana State, *#St. Peters
*= Play-in game #=Auto bid
First four out: Washington, Missouri State, Cleveland State, Washington State
.
Thursday, March 10, 2011
Blogging the bracket, part III
A few notes:
Switched a few auto bids, and adjusted Big East teams based on performances.
Added Memphis, deleted UW-Milwaukee.
DIDNT MOVE PURDUE. (Your welcome, Leneveu.)
Well, the bubble gods are being nice to quite a few teams this year. Through the first week of conference tournaments, we have exactly 0 bid stealers, and a number of bubble teams have either won their conference tournaments or fallen off the bubble. A recap of a few teams over the last 24 hours:
Baylor- lost badly to Oklahoma. They are out.
Nebraska- Lost to Okie st. They are also out
Okie St.- Beat Nebraska, back of the bubble
Butler- Won Horizon champ, off bubble
UW-Milwaukee- lost to Butler, off bubble
Conclusion: a lot of bubble teams are breathing easier tonight.
Current bubble softness, with 1 being very hard and 100 being very soft: 95.
In a normal year, teams with a profile as crappy as say, Alabama's would never dream of making it. But this year is different, and they have a real shot.
*My blog: http://andrewwicksbracketblog.blogspot.com/2011/03/updating-bracket.html
Spent a few hours doing this tonight, it's a lot of work. Feel free to call me a retard if any one of these is stupidly high/low/non-existent.
1 seeds: OSU, Kansas, Pitt, Notre Dame
2 seeds: Purdue, SDST, UNC, Duke
3 seeds: Syracuse, Texas, BYU, Florida
4 seeds: L'ville, Wisconsin, Uconn, UK
5 seeds: Vandy, St Johns, West Virginia, Arizona
6 seeds: UNLV, Texas A&M, Xavier, Gtown
7 seeds: K State, Temple, Cincy, #Old Dominion
8 seeds: George Mason, Florida St., UCLA, Mizzou
9 seeds: Illinois, Utah State, #Gonzaga, Tennessee
10 seeds: Michigan St., Marquette, Georgia, Richmond
11 seeds: *''Nova, *St. Mary's, Boston College, Michigan, Colorado
12 seeds: UAB, Va. Tech, *'Bama, #Butler, *Memphis
13 seeds: #Belmont, #Wofford,# Oakland, Harvard
14 seeds: Boston U., Kent State, #Long Island, #Morehead State
15 seeds: Bucknell, #Arkansas-Little Rock, Long Beach, McNeese State
16 seeds: *Bethune-Cookman, *#UNC-Ashville, Texas Southern, Northern Colorado, *#Indiana State, *#St. Peters
*= Play-in game #=Auto bid
First four out: Washington, Clemson
Next out: Missouri State, Cleveland State, Washington State
.
Switched a few auto bids, and adjusted Big East teams based on performances.
Added Memphis, deleted UW-Milwaukee.
DIDNT MOVE PURDUE. (Your welcome, Leneveu.)
Well, the bubble gods are being nice to quite a few teams this year. Through the first week of conference tournaments, we have exactly 0 bid stealers, and a number of bubble teams have either won their conference tournaments or fallen off the bubble. A recap of a few teams over the last 24 hours:
Baylor- lost badly to Oklahoma. They are out.
Nebraska- Lost to Okie st. They are also out
Okie St.- Beat Nebraska, back of the bubble
Butler- Won Horizon champ, off bubble
UW-Milwaukee- lost to Butler, off bubble
Conclusion: a lot of bubble teams are breathing easier tonight.
Current bubble softness, with 1 being very hard and 100 being very soft: 95.
In a normal year, teams with a profile as crappy as say, Alabama's would never dream of making it. But this year is different, and they have a real shot.
*My blog: http://andrewwicksbracketblog.blogspot.com/2011/03/updating-bracket.html
Spent a few hours doing this tonight, it's a lot of work. Feel free to call me a retard if any one of these is stupidly high/low/non-existent.
1 seeds: OSU, Kansas, Pitt, Notre Dame
2 seeds: Purdue, SDST, UNC, Duke
3 seeds: Syracuse, Texas, BYU, Florida
4 seeds: L'ville, Wisconsin, Uconn, UK
5 seeds: Vandy, St Johns, West Virginia, Arizona
6 seeds: UNLV, Texas A&M, Xavier, Gtown
7 seeds: K State, Temple, Cincy, #Old Dominion
8 seeds: George Mason, Florida St., UCLA, Mizzou
9 seeds: Illinois, Utah State, #Gonzaga, Tennessee
10 seeds: Michigan St., Marquette, Georgia, Richmond
11 seeds: *''Nova, *St. Mary's, Boston College, Michigan, Colorado
12 seeds: UAB, Va. Tech, *'Bama, #Butler, *Memphis
13 seeds: #Belmont, #Wofford,# Oakland, Harvard
14 seeds: Boston U., Kent State, #Long Island, #Morehead State
15 seeds: Bucknell, #Arkansas-Little Rock, Long Beach, McNeese State
16 seeds: *Bethune-Cookman, *#UNC-Ashville, Texas Southern, Northern Colorado, *#Indiana State, *#St. Peters
*= Play-in game #=Auto bid
First four out: Washington, Clemson
Next out: Missouri State, Cleveland State, Washington State
.
Wednesday, March 9, 2011
Blogging the bracket, part II
With the conference tournaments now in full swing, the changes are occuring extremely rapidly, oftentimes by the hour. Nova's loss to USF drops them a few seeds, while I switched ND and Duke due to the fact that Duke almost always gets to play in the State of North Carolina. I also changed a few of the confernece tournaments champinos, which has created some shuffling in the 13-16 range. VCU is out of this bracket after their loss to ODU last night, who moves up 1 seed line. The Butler/UW-Milwaukee game tonight will likely change the bracket as well. I'll try to put an S-curve up by the end of tomorrow.
Current bubble softness, with 1 being very hard and 100 being very soft: 90.
In a normal year, teams with a profile as crappy as say, Alabama's would never dream of making it. But this year is different, and they have a real shot.
*My blog: http://andrewwicksbracketblog.blogspot.com/2011/03/updating-bracket.html
Spent a few hours doing this tonight, it's a lot of work. Feel free to call me a retard if any one of these is stupidly high/low/non-existent.
1 seeds: OSU, Kansas, Pitt, Notre Dame
2 seeds: Purdue, SDST, UNC, Duke
3 seeds: Syracuase, Texas, BYU, Florida
4 seeds: St Johns, L'ville, Wisconsin, Uconn
5 seeds: Vandy, UK, Gtown, Arizona
6 seeds: UNLV, Texas A&M, Xavier, West Virginia
7 seeds: K State, Temple, Cincy, Old Dominion
8 seeds: George Mason, Florida St., UCLA, Mizzou
9 seeds: Illinois, Utah State, Gonzaga, Tennessee
10 seeds: Michigan St., Marquette, Georgia, Richmond
11 seeds: *''Nova, *St. Mary's, Boston College, Michigan, Colorado
12 seeds: UAB, Harvard, *Va. Tech, *'Bama, Butler
13 seeds: Belmont, Wofford, Oakland, UW-Milwaukee
14 seeds: Vermont, Kent State, Long Island, Morehead State
15 seeds: Bucknell, North Texas, Long Beach, McNeese State
16 seeds: *Bethune-Cookman, *UNC-Ashville, Texas Southern, Northern Colorado, *Indiana State, *St. Peters
*= Play-in game
First four out: Memphis, Washington, Colorado State, Clemson
Next four out: Nebraska, Missouri State, Cleveland State, Washington State
Current bubble softness, with 1 being very hard and 100 being very soft: 90.
In a normal year, teams with a profile as crappy as say, Alabama's would never dream of making it. But this year is different, and they have a real shot.
*My blog: http://andrewwicksbracketblog.blogspot.com/2011/03/updating-bracket.html
Spent a few hours doing this tonight, it's a lot of work. Feel free to call me a retard if any one of these is stupidly high/low/non-existent.
1 seeds: OSU, Kansas, Pitt, Notre Dame
2 seeds: Purdue, SDST, UNC, Duke
3 seeds: Syracuase, Texas, BYU, Florida
4 seeds: St Johns, L'ville, Wisconsin, Uconn
5 seeds: Vandy, UK, Gtown, Arizona
6 seeds: UNLV, Texas A&M, Xavier, West Virginia
7 seeds: K State, Temple, Cincy, Old Dominion
8 seeds: George Mason, Florida St., UCLA, Mizzou
9 seeds: Illinois, Utah State, Gonzaga, Tennessee
10 seeds: Michigan St., Marquette, Georgia, Richmond
11 seeds: *''Nova, *St. Mary's, Boston College, Michigan, Colorado
12 seeds: UAB, Harvard, *Va. Tech, *'Bama, Butler
13 seeds: Belmont, Wofford, Oakland, UW-Milwaukee
14 seeds: Vermont, Kent State, Long Island, Morehead State
15 seeds: Bucknell, North Texas, Long Beach, McNeese State
16 seeds: *Bethune-Cookman, *UNC-Ashville, Texas Southern, Northern Colorado, *Indiana State, *St. Peters
*= Play-in game
First four out: Memphis, Washington, Colorado State, Clemson
Next four out: Nebraska, Missouri State, Cleveland State, Washington State
Sunday, March 6, 2011
Updating the bracket
Well, it was an insane weekend in college hoops, and 4 bids were punched, bubbles were popped, and celebrations were had. Most importantly, we are now closer to the fateful Sunday, and here is my updated bracket:
1 seeds: OSU, Kansas, Duke Pitt
2 seeds: Purdue, SDST, UNC, Notre Dame
3 seeds: Syracuase, Texas, BYU, Louisville
4 seeds: St Johns, Florida, Wisconsin, Uconn
5 seeds: Vandy, UK, Gtown, Arizona
6 seeds: UNLV, Texas A&M, Temple, West Virginia
7 seeds: 'Nova, K State, Xavier, Cincy
8 seeds: George Mason, Florida St., Old Dominion, UCLA
9 seeds: Illinois, Mizzou, Utah State, Gonzaga
10 seeds: Michigan St., Marquette, Georgia, Tennessee
11 seeds: *'Bama, *St. Mary's, Richmond, Boston College, Michigan
12 seeds: UAB, Harvard, *Va. Tech, *Butler, VCU
13 seeds: Belmont, College of Charleston, Oakland, UW-Milwaukee
14 seeds: Vermont, Kent State, Long Island, Morehead State
15 seeds: Bucknell, FAU, Long Beach, McNeese State
16 seeds: *Bethune-Cookman, *UNC-Ashville, Texas Southern, Northern Colorado, *Indiana State, *St. Peters
*= Play-in game
1 seeds: OSU, Kansas, Duke Pitt
2 seeds: Purdue, SDST, UNC, Notre Dame
3 seeds: Syracuase, Texas, BYU, Louisville
4 seeds: St Johns, Florida, Wisconsin, Uconn
5 seeds: Vandy, UK, Gtown, Arizona
6 seeds: UNLV, Texas A&M, Temple, West Virginia
7 seeds: 'Nova, K State, Xavier, Cincy
8 seeds: George Mason, Florida St., Old Dominion, UCLA
9 seeds: Illinois, Mizzou, Utah State, Gonzaga
10 seeds: Michigan St., Marquette, Georgia, Tennessee
11 seeds: *'Bama, *St. Mary's, Richmond, Boston College, Michigan
12 seeds: UAB, Harvard, *Va. Tech, *Butler, VCU
13 seeds: Belmont, College of Charleston, Oakland, UW-Milwaukee
14 seeds: Vermont, Kent State, Long Island, Morehead State
15 seeds: Bucknell, FAU, Long Beach, McNeese State
16 seeds: *Bethune-Cookman, *UNC-Ashville, Texas Southern, Northern Colorado, *Indiana State, *St. Peters
*= Play-in game
Saturday, March 5, 2011
Saturday Update- Conference tournaments
Well, today was an enormous day in the NCAA, and the last day with a true full slate of games this year. Along with the huge games, such as Duke-UNC there were a number of meaningful conference tournament games as well. A rundown of some of the notable ones:
Atlantic Sun
In the A-Sun championship game, the 1 seed Belmont Bruins clobbered the 6 seed North Florida Ospreys 87-46. Belmont was a fringe bubble team going in, so they will most likely be one of the higher-seeded auto bids. Expect them to be a 13 or 14 seed, depending on how deep the bubble goes.
Big South
In the first conference championship game of the season, the 3rd seeded UNC-Ashville team beat 1 seed Coastal Carolina by 13. Coastal Carolina came into the game on a bit of a cold streak, and had a lot of program turmoil, while UNC-Ashville was very hot. UNC-Ashville will most likely be a 15 or 16 seed, possibly in one of the play-in games.
Colonial
As of 8:42 PM EST, as I write this, the 1,2,and 4 seeds have all advanced to the semis. The lone surprise of this tourney has been 11 seed William and Mary upsetting 6th seeded James Madison in the 1st round. Drexel, the 5 seed, most likely dashed its bubble hopes with a loss to 4 VCU. 1 and 2 seeds George Mason and Old Dominion are both expected to garner tournament bids.
Horizon
In the first semifinal game, Butler beat fellow bubble squad Cleveland State, while the 1 vs. 4 matchup of UW-Milwaukee and Valpo is in the early stages. Butler will be the favorite to win the championship game.
Missouri Valley
The Missouri State Sycamores and Wichita State Shockers will meet tomorrow for the MVC championship. Missouri State is a bubble team, and a win but make them a very strong automatic qualifier. The MVC tournament always provides a lot of excitement, and this one has been no exception.
Ohio Valley Conference
The championship game is currently going of, with the unfortunately-named Morehead State team battles 4 seed Tennessee Tech. Top state Murray State was ousted, and will not get a chance to repeat an upset like last year's 13/4 win. (Which, by the way, I called.)
More to come later tonight, assuming I don't get a heart attack watching Duke-UNC.
Atlantic Sun
In the A-Sun championship game, the 1 seed Belmont Bruins clobbered the 6 seed North Florida Ospreys 87-46. Belmont was a fringe bubble team going in, so they will most likely be one of the higher-seeded auto bids. Expect them to be a 13 or 14 seed, depending on how deep the bubble goes.
Big South
In the first conference championship game of the season, the 3rd seeded UNC-Ashville team beat 1 seed Coastal Carolina by 13. Coastal Carolina came into the game on a bit of a cold streak, and had a lot of program turmoil, while UNC-Ashville was very hot. UNC-Ashville will most likely be a 15 or 16 seed, possibly in one of the play-in games.
Colonial
As of 8:42 PM EST, as I write this, the 1,2,and 4 seeds have all advanced to the semis. The lone surprise of this tourney has been 11 seed William and Mary upsetting 6th seeded James Madison in the 1st round. Drexel, the 5 seed, most likely dashed its bubble hopes with a loss to 4 VCU. 1 and 2 seeds George Mason and Old Dominion are both expected to garner tournament bids.
Horizon
In the first semifinal game, Butler beat fellow bubble squad Cleveland State, while the 1 vs. 4 matchup of UW-Milwaukee and Valpo is in the early stages. Butler will be the favorite to win the championship game.
Missouri Valley
The Missouri State Sycamores and Wichita State Shockers will meet tomorrow for the MVC championship. Missouri State is a bubble team, and a win but make them a very strong automatic qualifier. The MVC tournament always provides a lot of excitement, and this one has been no exception.
Ohio Valley Conference
The championship game is currently going of, with the unfortunately-named Morehead State team battles 4 seed Tennessee Tech. Top state Murray State was ousted, and will not get a chance to repeat an upset like last year's 13/4 win. (Which, by the way, I called.)
More to come later tonight, assuming I don't get a heart attack watching Duke-UNC.
Thursday, March 3, 2011
Bubble Watching, Part 1
As is the case during most Wednesday nights late in the season, there are usually some huge Wednesday games, and last night was no exception. Here are the winners and losers from last night:
Winners
Cincinnati
With a crucial win at Marquette, the Bearcats appear to have punched a ticket to the Big Dance.
New Mexico
The Lobos absolutely crushed the Jimmers, and gave themselves a much needed big win.
Losers
Clemson
The Tigers had a chance for a huge win at Duke, but fell by 11. They will probably need to win a few games in the ACC tournament to have a shot.
Marquette
The Golden Eagles are still likely to make the tourney, but a loss at fellow bubble team Cincy puts them back closer to the center of the pack.
Winners
Cincinnati
With a crucial win at Marquette, the Bearcats appear to have punched a ticket to the Big Dance.
New Mexico
The Lobos absolutely crushed the Jimmers, and gave themselves a much needed big win.
Losers
Clemson
The Tigers had a chance for a huge win at Duke, but fell by 11. They will probably need to win a few games in the ACC tournament to have a shot.
Marquette
The Golden Eagles are still likely to make the tourney, but a loss at fellow bubble team Cincy puts them back closer to the center of the pack.
Wednesday, March 2, 2011
Midday update 3/2
Unfortunately for all of us bracket geeks, last night was relatively lame in terms of shocking upsets. Most of the ranked teams one, and there were very few conference tournament upsets. The Horizon and Big South tournaments both began last night, and the only upset of any kind in either one was 7 seed High Point beating the 2 seed Liberty in the Big South. Other than that, all of the favorites won, and the bubble remains pretty much the same size this morning.
Tonight's slate includes the first round of the ASUN, OVC, and Patriot tournaments. Only Belmont out of the ASUN has an shot at all to sneak in with an at-large bid, but they would have to reach the ASUN finals and get a lot of help.
The action tonight will again be in the major conferences, as there are some huge games for bubble teams. More to come later in the day.
Tonight's slate includes the first round of the ASUN, OVC, and Patriot tournaments. Only Belmont out of the ASUN has an shot at all to sneak in with an at-large bid, but they would have to reach the ASUN finals and get a lot of help.
The action tonight will again be in the major conferences, as there are some huge games for bubble teams. More to come later in the day.
Tuesday, March 1, 2011
Conference tournaments 3/1/11
Now that conference tournaments have finally started, expect a steady stream of posts over the next 13 days. Tonight being the first night of tournaments, there is a relatively weak slate of games, but certainly enough to whet one's appetite. It also helps that there are several big games between ranked teams or featuring bubble teams tonight.
Anyways, on to the tournaments.
Big South
The big south is a weak conference that has produced little in terms of recent at large teams/ Big Dance wins. This year, the situation is no different. 1 seed Coastal Carolina has an impressive 26-4 record, but faces an NCAA investigation, losing streak, and program turmoil. Their at-large hopes are null, as they feature an RPI of 98 and very poor 302 SOS. 2 seed Liberty and 3 seed UNC-Ashville also have outside shots at winning the tournament, but neither have anything impressive on their résumés. The Big South also has VMI, the perennially highest-scoring team in D1 hoops, and previous champion and tournament shocker Winthrop.
First round schedule:
1Coastal Carolina-8Gardner Webb
2Liberty-7High Point
3UNC-Ashville-6Charleston Southern
4VMI-5Winthrop
Horizon
Dominated by the prominence of the Butler Bulldogs over the last couple of years, the conference was represented extremely well when the Bulldogs upset its way to the championship game last year, losing by 2 when their last-second 3 hit the rim. This year, Butler, Cleveland State, and UW-Milwaukee all tied for first, with Butler and UW-Milwaukee winning the tiebreakers for the double bye. Of the 3, Cleveland State, led by the ridiculous Norris Cole, and Butler both have at-large hopes. In this way, getting the double bye might actually hurt Butler, since it has fewer chances to add wins. Anyways, tonight's schedule is as follows:
3Cleveland St.-10Ill.-Chicago
4Valpo-9Youngstown St.
5Detroit-8Loyola Ill
6.Wright St.-7Green Bay
Get those brackets ready!
Anyways, on to the tournaments.
Big South
The big south is a weak conference that has produced little in terms of recent at large teams/ Big Dance wins. This year, the situation is no different. 1 seed Coastal Carolina has an impressive 26-4 record, but faces an NCAA investigation, losing streak, and program turmoil. Their at-large hopes are null, as they feature an RPI of 98 and very poor 302 SOS. 2 seed Liberty and 3 seed UNC-Ashville also have outside shots at winning the tournament, but neither have anything impressive on their résumés. The Big South also has VMI, the perennially highest-scoring team in D1 hoops, and previous champion and tournament shocker Winthrop.
First round schedule:
1Coastal Carolina-8Gardner Webb
2Liberty-7High Point
3UNC-Ashville-6Charleston Southern
4VMI-5Winthrop
Horizon
Dominated by the prominence of the Butler Bulldogs over the last couple of years, the conference was represented extremely well when the Bulldogs upset its way to the championship game last year, losing by 2 when their last-second 3 hit the rim. This year, Butler, Cleveland State, and UW-Milwaukee all tied for first, with Butler and UW-Milwaukee winning the tiebreakers for the double bye. Of the 3, Cleveland State, led by the ridiculous Norris Cole, and Butler both have at-large hopes. In this way, getting the double bye might actually hurt Butler, since it has fewer chances to add wins. Anyways, tonight's schedule is as follows:
3Cleveland St.-10Ill.-Chicago
4Valpo-9Youngstown St.
5Detroit-8Loyola Ill
6.Wright St.-7Green Bay
Get those brackets ready!
Introduction
Hello, everyone! My name is Andrew Wick, and I am an amateur bracketologist. As a senior project, I have decided to study the Big Dance, and as part of my project I will be using key factors (e.g. RPI, SOS, W-L record, RPI Top 50/100 wins, etc.) to try to predict the 2011 bracket. Enjoy!
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